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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+7.43vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.48+4.99vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.55+3.73vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.83+5.29vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+5.19vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.51+4.74vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.29+0.53vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+0.89vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.82-3.54vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.56-3.22vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.06-2.31vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.73-1.84vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.84-3.78vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.76-0.81vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University0.74-1.45vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.03-7.34vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.30-5.33vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire0.28-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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6.99Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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6.73Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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9.29Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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10.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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10.74Bowdoin College1.510.0%1st Place
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7.53Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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8.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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5.46Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.78Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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8.69Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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10.16Tufts University1.730.0%1st Place
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9.22University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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13.19University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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13.55Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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8.66Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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11.67Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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14.82University of New Hampshire0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Schmelz | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 6.9% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Young | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Emily Mueller | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 3.5% |
| Rebecca Schill | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 13.6% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.3% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 17.1% | 16.8% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 16.3% | 19.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.9% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% |
| Marykate Hanus | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 16.0% | 36.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.