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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.31+3.98vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.63+2.09vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.28+5.72vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+4.48vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.50+2.73vs Predicted
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6Boston College1.77+1.12vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.15-2.41vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University0.95+0.88vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.52-2.00vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-0.78+4.17vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.00-1.99vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.57-1.60vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College0.84-3.45vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.08-5.31vs Predicted
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16Tufts University0.90-5.81vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57-5.54vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99-8.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.98Dartmouth College2.310.2%1st Place
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4.09Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
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8.72Brown University1.280.0%1st Place
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8.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.1%1st Place
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7.73Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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7.12Boston College1.770.1%1st Place
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5.59Harvard University2.150.1%1st Place
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9.88Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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8.0Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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15.17University of New Hampshire-0.780.0%1st Place
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10.01Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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11.4University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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10.55Bowdoin College0.840.0%1st Place
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9.69University of Rhode Island1.080.0%1st Place
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10.19Tufts University0.900.0%1st Place
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11.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.0%1st Place
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9.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Drulard | 15.5% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Hamilton | 19.7% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sidney Moyer | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Brooke Barry | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Tavia Smith | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Sara Schumann | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Kate Danielson | 11.5% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 4.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 13.9% | 56.2% |
| Meredith Broadus | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 3.2% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 14.3% | 8.4% |
| Sophie Brett | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 5.4% |
| Leah Rickard | 3.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| Kiana Beachy | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 4.0% |
| Ella Demand | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 14.6% | 8.0% |
| Emma Wang | 3.1% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.