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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.31+3.96vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.63+2.08vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College0.84+7.41vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.28+4.74vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57+6.25vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.15-0.25vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.08+2.54vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.77-1.22vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99+0.07vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.00-1.29vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-3.28vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.52-5.08vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.50-5.95vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University0.95-4.86vs Predicted
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16Tufts University0.90-5.82vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.57-5.50vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire-0.78-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.96Dartmouth College2.310.2%1st Place
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4.08Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
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10.41Bowdoin College0.840.0%1st Place
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8.74Brown University1.280.1%1st Place
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11.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.0%1st Place
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5.75Harvard University2.150.1%1st Place
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9.54University of Rhode Island1.080.0%1st Place
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6.78Boston College1.770.1%1st Place
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10.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
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9.71Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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8.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.1%1st Place
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7.92Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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8.05Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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10.14Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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10.18Tufts University0.900.0%1st Place
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11.5University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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15.22University of New Hampshire-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Drulard | 16.0% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Hamilton | 19.7% | 17.5% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Brett | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 5.0% |
| Sidney Moyer | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 0.5% |
| Ella Demand | 1.9% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 7.5% |
| Kate Danielson | 10.6% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Leah Rickard | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| Sara Schumann | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Emma Wang | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 3.4% |
| Meredith Broadus | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
| Brooke Barry | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Tavia Smith | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 2.9% |
| Kiana Beachy | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 3.5% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 14.8% | 7.8% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 60.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.