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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University0.95+8.82vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.50+5.79vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99+6.88vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.00+5.95vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College0.84+5.21vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.28+2.97vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+1.54vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.77-1.18vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.08+0.81vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.90+0.14vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.63-6.70vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57-0.61vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.31-7.80vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.15-8.24vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.57-3.64vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.52-8.14vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-0.78-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.82Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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7.79Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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9.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
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9.95Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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10.21Bowdoin College0.840.0%1st Place
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8.97Brown University1.280.0%1st Place
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8.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.1%1st Place
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6.82Boston College1.770.1%1st Place
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9.81University of Rhode Island1.080.0%1st Place
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10.14Tufts University0.900.0%1st Place
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4.3Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
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11.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.0%1st Place
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5.2Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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5.76Harvard University2.150.1%1st Place
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11.36University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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7.86Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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15.21University of New Hampshire-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caylin Schnoor | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 2.8% |
| Tavia Smith | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Emma Wang | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 3.8% |
| Meredith Broadus | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 2.8% |
| Sophie Brett | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 4.6% |
| Sidney Moyer | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Brooke Barry | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Sara Schumann | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Leah Rickard | 2.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 3.0% |
| Kiana Beachy | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 3.8% |
| Laura Hamilton | 19.8% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ella Demand | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 15.1% | 7.4% |
| Olivia Drulard | 12.9% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kate Danielson | 10.6% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 15.2% | 7.9% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 11.0% | 60.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.