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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99+8.70vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.52+5.76vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+5.48vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.63+0.28vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.00+4.63vs Predicted
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6Boston College1.77+1.16vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.50+0.94vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.28+0.60vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.31-3.75vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.15-4.46vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.08-1.31vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.90-1.84vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57-1.43vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University0.95-3.80vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.57-3.65vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College0.84-5.51vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire-0.78-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
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7.76Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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8.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.1%1st Place
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4.28Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
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9.63Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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7.16Boston College1.770.1%1st Place
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7.94Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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8.6Brown University1.280.1%1st Place
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5.25Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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5.54Harvard University2.150.1%1st Place
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9.69University of Rhode Island1.080.0%1st Place
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10.16Tufts University0.900.0%1st Place
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11.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.0%1st Place
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10.2Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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11.35University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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10.49Bowdoin College0.840.0%1st Place
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15.21University of New Hampshire-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Wang | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 2.6% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Brooke Barry | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Laura Hamilton | 18.9% | 15.7% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Broadus | 2.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 3.7% |
| Sara Schumann | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Sidney Moyer | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
| Olivia Drulard | 11.7% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kate Danielson | 11.0% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Leah Rickard | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 2.3% |
| Kiana Beachy | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 3.4% |
| Ella Demand | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 9.5% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 2.8% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 15.0% | 7.7% |
| Sophie Brett | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 4.6% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 10.9% | 59.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.