← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.63+3.08vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University2.15+3.51vs Predicted
-
3Brown University1.28+5.78vs Predicted
-
4Boston College1.77+2.96vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University1.52+2.72vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57+5.62vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University1.50+0.96vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College2.31-2.92vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99+1.02vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University1.00-0.29vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont0.57+0.52vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island1.08-2.52vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University0.90-2.65vs Predicted
-
14Roger Williams University0.95-3.85vs Predicted
-
15University of New Hampshire-0.78+0.06vs Predicted
-
17Bowdoin College0.84-6.51vs Predicted
-
18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-9.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.08Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
-
5.51Harvard University2.150.1%1st Place
-
8.78Brown University1.280.0%1st Place
-
6.96Boston College1.770.1%1st Place
-
7.72Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
-
11.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.0%1st Place
-
7.96Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
-
5.08Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
-
10.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
-
9.71Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
-
11.52University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
-
9.48University of Rhode Island1.080.0%1st Place
-
10.35Tufts University0.900.0%1st Place
-
10.15Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
-
15.06University of New Hampshire-0.780.0%1st Place
-
10.49Bowdoin College0.840.0%1st Place
-
8.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Hamilton | 21.5% | 16.4% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Danielson | 12.2% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Sidney Moyer | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Sara Schumann | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Ella Demand | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 9.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Olivia Drulard | 14.5% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Wang | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 3.3% |
| Meredith Broadus | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 2.5% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 8.8% |
| Leah Rickard | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 2.3% |
| Kiana Beachy | 3.4% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 4.1% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 3.3% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 57.7% |
| Sophie Brett | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 4.8% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.