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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99+8.64vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.52+5.78vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College0.84+7.42vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.50+4.02vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+3.29vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.15-0.25vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.31-1.92vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.63-4.80vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University0.95+0.24vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.00-1.26vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-0.78+3.11vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57-1.58vs Predicted
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14Boston College1.77-6.99vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.90-4.63vs Predicted
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16Brown University1.28-7.30vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.57-5.43vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island1.08-8.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
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7.78Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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10.42Bowdoin College0.840.0%1st Place
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8.02Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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8.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.1%1st Place
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5.75Harvard University2.150.1%1st Place
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5.08Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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4.2Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
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10.24Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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9.74Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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15.11University of New Hampshire-0.780.0%1st Place
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11.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.0%1st Place
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7.01Boston College1.770.1%1st Place
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10.37Tufts University0.900.0%1st Place
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8.7Brown University1.280.1%1st Place
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11.57University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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9.65University of Rhode Island1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Wang | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 2.4% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Sophie Brett | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% |
| Tavia Smith | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
| Kate Danielson | 10.5% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Drulard | 13.4% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Hamilton | 20.9% | 16.9% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 3.3% |
| Meredith Broadus | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.3% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 12.2% | 59.5% |
| Ella Demand | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 9.0% |
| Sara Schumann | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Kiana Beachy | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 3.3% |
| Sidney Moyer | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 8.0% |
| Leah Rickard | 2.9% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.