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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.97+5.96vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.22+8.17vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.02+2.91vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.81+3.42vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.20+0.97vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.55-1.62vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University-1.38+0.23vs Predicted
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8George Washington University0.93+2.63vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.99+1.18vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University0.16+2.78vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.54-0.03vs Predicted
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12Clemson University0.73-1.69vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.99-6.11vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.32-1.96vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy1.18-4.79vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.48-4.44vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University0.65-3.49vs Predicted
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18Rollins College-0.06-4.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.96Roger Williams University1.978.3%1st Place
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10.17Northeastern University1.223.9%1st Place
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5.91Tulane University2.0210.8%1st Place
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7.42College of Charleston1.817.8%1st Place
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5.97Georgetown University2.2011.2%1st Place
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4.38Yale University2.5517.2%1st Place
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7.23Jacksonville University-1.388.1%1st Place
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10.63George Washington University0.932.5%1st Place
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10.18University of Rhode Island0.993.1%1st Place
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12.78Northwestern University0.161.7%1st Place
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10.97Tufts University0.543.0%1st Place
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10.31Clemson University0.733.9%1st Place
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6.89Brown University1.997.5%1st Place
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12.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.322.5%1st Place
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10.21U. S. Naval Academy1.183.1%1st Place
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11.56University of Vermont0.482.8%1st Place
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13.51Christopher Newport University0.651.4%1st Place
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13.87Rollins College-0.061.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Meagher | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% |
| Samantha Gardner | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Piper Holthus | 11.2% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emma Cowles | 17.2% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.7% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Grace Bray | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 14.7% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% |
| Nilah Miller | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| Katharine Doble | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Odell | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.1% |
| Ava Farley | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.4% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 21.3% |
| KA Hamner | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 15.8% | 25.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.