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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.70+7.33vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.93+5.50vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.89+4.76vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+3.89vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College4.05+2.15vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.88+1.87vs Predicted
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7University of Miami3.69+1.64vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.45+1.36vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.67-0.45vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.26+0.28vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.35-1.19vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.44-2.49vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University4.31-6.91vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-6.95vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.39-5.15vs Predicted
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16University of Miami3.25-5.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.33Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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7.5College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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7.76Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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7.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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7.15Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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7.87Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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8.64University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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9.36Brown University3.450.0%1st Place
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8.55Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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10.28Georgetown University3.260.0%1st Place
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9.81Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.51Connecticut College3.440.1%1st Place
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6.09Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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7.05St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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9.85University of Vermont3.390.0%1st Place
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10.34University of Miami3.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Massimo Soriano | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% |
| Cam Cullman | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Alex Cook | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% |
| David Hernandez | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% |
| Emily Lambert | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% |
| Andrew Mason | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 13.2% |
| Matt Johnson | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 10.3% |
| Peter Miller | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.8% |
| Sean Bouchard | 11.3% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Fletcher Sims | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Mackenzie Spencer | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 8.9% |
| William Howard | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 13.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.