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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Rhode Island1.08+6.92vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+5.06vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.15+1.39vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.31+0.07vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.28+2.41vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99+2.53vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.50-0.34vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.63-5.03vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.52-2.50vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University0.95-1.32vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.00-2.60vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-0.78+0.26vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.90-5.25vs Predicted
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16Boston College1.77-9.49vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.57-6.03vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57-7.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.92University of Rhode Island1.080.0%1st Place
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8.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.1%1st Place
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5.39Harvard University2.150.1%1st Place
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5.07Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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8.41Brown University1.280.0%1st Place
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9.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
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7.66Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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3.97Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
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7.5Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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9.68Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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9.4Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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14.26University of New Hampshire-0.780.0%1st Place
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9.75Tufts University0.900.0%1st Place
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6.51Boston College1.770.1%1st Place
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10.97University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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10.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leah Rickard | 2.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 2.4% |
| Brooke Barry | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Kate Danielson | 11.6% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Drulard | 13.4% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sidney Moyer | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Emma Wang | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 3.7% |
| Tavia Smith | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Laura Hamilton | 20.4% | 17.2% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 3.9% |
| Meredith Broadus | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 4.5% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 11.4% | 59.6% |
| Kiana Beachy | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 3.1% |
| Sara Schumann | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 16.4% | 8.7% |
| Ella Demand | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.