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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57+9.65vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.50+5.50vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.52+4.55vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.63+0.12vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.89+4.83vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+2.23vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.77-0.26vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.31-3.19vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.28-0.67vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-0.78+4.29vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.57-1.26vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.15-7.57vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.90-4.26vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.08-6.00vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University0.95-6.38vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.00-8.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.0%1st Place
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7.5Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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7.55Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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4.12Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
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9.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.890.0%1st Place
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8.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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6.74Boston College1.770.1%1st Place
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4.81Dartmouth College2.310.2%1st Place
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8.33Brown University1.280.1%1st Place
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14.29University of New Hampshire-0.780.0%1st Place
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10.74University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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5.43Harvard University2.150.1%1st Place
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9.74Tufts University0.900.0%1st Place
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9.0University of Rhode Island1.080.0%1st Place
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9.62Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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9.43Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Demand | 1.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 8.8% |
| Tavia Smith | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Laura Hamilton | 18.4% | 17.7% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 3.6% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Sara Schumann | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Olivia Drulard | 15.5% | 14.0% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sidney Moyer | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 62.5% |
| Caitlin Derby | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 15.9% | 7.9% |
| Kate Danielson | 12.7% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kiana Beachy | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 4.2% |
| Leah Rickard | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 2.3% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 2.6% |
| Meredith Broadus | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.