Race 10B

toni-duetsch-58-2024

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Olivia Drulard 14.4% 13.0% 15.0% 10.8% 9.9% 9.4% 6.1% 6.5% 5.2% 3.7% 2.9% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Sara Schumann 7.8% 10.9% 7.5% 9.4% 8.6% 8.4% 7.2% 7.7% 7.0% 6.7% 7.1% 3.7% 3.6% 2.5% 1.4% 0.5%
Kate Danielson 13.0% 10.1% 11.0% 10.5% 10.2% 10.3% 10.1% 6.7% 5.2% 5.5% 2.7% 1.7% 1.5% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
Brooke Barry 4.4% 5.8% 6.4% 7.0% 6.5% 6.2% 6.5% 6.2% 7.4% 9.1% 8.1% 8.1% 7.4% 4.7% 4.7% 1.5%
Laura Hamilton 17.9% 18.0% 15.2% 11.7% 9.7% 8.6% 5.7% 4.9% 3.7% 2.3% 1.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Caitlin Derby 2.5% 2.2% 2.0% 3.4% 4.2% 3.4% 5.2% 5.2% 6.1% 7.0% 7.1% 7.9% 8.0% 11.0% 15.6% 9.2%
Lucia Loosbrock 7.4% 6.6% 5.6% 7.7% 6.4% 7.9% 7.6% 8.0% 7.4% 7.2% 7.1% 7.5% 6.5% 4.0% 2.5% 0.6%
Kiana Beachy 3.1% 4.1% 4.2% 5.0% 5.8% 4.8% 4.8% 6.1% 6.3% 6.6% 6.8% 10.5% 9.7% 9.3% 8.8% 4.1%
Sophia Woodbury 3.8% 3.8% 3.7% 4.0% 4.1% 5.5% 6.1% 6.1% 6.3% 8.3% 8.1% 8.0% 9.1% 10.3% 8.1% 4.7%
Tavia Smith 6.2% 5.8% 7.5% 5.6% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5% 9.3% 10.1% 7.8% 6.8% 5.2% 6.2% 4.1% 2.0% 0.9%
Sidney Moyer 5.7% 5.6% 5.9% 5.9% 5.5% 5.8% 7.6% 6.9% 6.9% 8.2% 8.3% 8.4% 6.7% 7.0% 4.2% 1.4%
Caylin Schnoor 3.9% 4.0% 2.7% 4.4% 6.7% 5.5% 6.2% 6.5% 7.0% 6.2% 7.3% 7.9% 8.0% 10.3% 8.8% 4.6%
Leah Rickard 2.9% 3.8% 5.9% 6.1% 5.0% 5.3% 7.9% 6.4% 8.5% 6.5% 8.3% 7.5% 8.1% 8.6% 7.4% 1.8%
Meredith Broadus 4.2% 3.0% 4.3% 4.9% 6.0% 6.8% 5.9% 6.5% 5.7% 7.7% 9.3% 9.5% 8.6% 7.3% 7.3% 3.0%
Ella Demand 2.5% 2.2% 2.6% 2.6% 3.4% 4.0% 4.6% 5.3% 5.3% 5.5% 6.3% 8.5% 10.4% 12.4% 16.3% 8.1%
Sonja Krajewski 0.3% 1.1% 0.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.6% 1.0% 1.7% 1.9% 1.7% 2.4% 3.8% 4.8% 7.0% 12.2% 59.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.