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📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.90+8.10vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.08+6.51vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.15+2.06vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.28+3.88vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University0.95+4.11vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.63-2.16vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+0.65vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57+2.28vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.31-4.36vs Predicted
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11Boston College1.77-4.59vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.57-1.68vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.52-5.56vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.00-4.81vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University1.50-8.81vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-0.78-3.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.1Tufts University0.900.0%1st Place
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8.51University of Rhode Island1.080.0%1st Place
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5.06Harvard University2.150.1%1st Place
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7.88Brown University1.280.1%1st Place
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9.11Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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3.84Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
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7.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.1%1st Place
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10.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.0%1st Place
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4.64Dartmouth College2.310.2%1st Place
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6.41Boston College1.770.1%1st Place
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10.32University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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7.44Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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9.19Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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7.19Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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13.37University of New Hampshire-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kiana Beachy | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 5.2% |
| Leah Rickard | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 2.2% |
| Kate Danielson | 12.8% | 14.3% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sidney Moyer | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 4.5% |
| Laura Hamilton | 20.4% | 17.1% | 16.4% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Ella Demand | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 18.8% | 8.8% |
| Olivia Drulard | 15.1% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Sara Schumann | 6.9% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 16.7% | 10.4% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Meredith Broadus | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 3.6% |
| Tavia Smith | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 10.9% | 61.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.