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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57+9.06vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.52+4.96vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.00+5.78vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.63-0.11vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+2.82vs Predicted
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6Boston College1.77+0.36vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.31-2.27vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.28-1.06vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.50-2.87vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.57-0.71vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.15-6.75vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University0.95-4.69vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.08-6.12vs Predicted
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16Tufts University0.90-6.79vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-0.78-3.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.0%1st Place
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6.96Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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8.78Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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3.89Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
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7.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.1%1st Place
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6.36Boston College1.770.1%1st Place
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4.73Dartmouth College2.310.2%1st Place
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7.94Brown University1.280.0%1st Place
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7.13Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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10.29University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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5.25Harvard University2.150.1%1st Place
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9.31Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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8.88University of Rhode Island1.080.0%1st Place
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9.21Tufts University0.900.0%1st Place
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13.39University of New Hampshire-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Demand | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 10.3% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Meredith Broadus | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 3.7% |
| Laura Hamilton | 20.9% | 17.3% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 1.3% |
| Sara Schumann | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Drulard | 15.1% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sidney Moyer | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Tavia Smith | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 17.4% | 8.7% |
| Kate Danielson | 11.8% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 3.9% |
| Leah Rickard | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 3.1% |
| Kiana Beachy | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 4.2% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 12.3% | 60.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.