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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.50+6.01vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.31+2.59vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.00+4.77vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.63-1.09vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.52+1.24vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University0.95+2.12vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-0.29vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.57+1.23vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.90-0.82vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.08-2.31vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57-1.75vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.15-7.64vs Predicted
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15Boston College1.77-8.43vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-0.78-2.53vs Predicted
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17Brown University1.28-9.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.01Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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4.59Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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8.77Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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3.91Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
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7.24Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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9.12Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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7.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.1%1st Place
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10.23University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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9.18Tufts University0.900.0%1st Place
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8.69University of Rhode Island1.080.0%1st Place
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10.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.0%1st Place
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5.36Harvard University2.150.1%1st Place
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6.57Boston College1.770.1%1st Place
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13.47University of New Hampshire-0.780.0%1st Place
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7.9Brown University1.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavia Smith | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| Olivia Drulard | 14.7% | 16.5% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Broadus | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 3.2% |
| Laura Hamilton | 20.0% | 18.6% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 3.5% |
| Brooke Barry | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 1.2% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 16.6% | 9.8% |
| Kiana Beachy | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 4.1% |
| Leah Rickard | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 3.6% |
| Ella Demand | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 17.7% | 9.4% |
| Kate Danielson | 11.1% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Sara Schumann | 8.6% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 12.4% | 60.4% |
| Sidney Moyer | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.