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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+5.31vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28+2.79vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.41+1.43vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.69-1.67vs Predicted
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5Fordham University0.99+0.02vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.32-3.19vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.09-0.02vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.43-3.64vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College-0.90-1.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.31U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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4.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.1%1st Place
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4.43University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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2.33Cornell University2.690.3%1st Place
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5.02Fordham University0.990.1%1st Place
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2.81Cornell University2.320.3%1st Place
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6.98Princeton University-0.090.0%1st Place
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4.36Cornell University1.430.1%1st Place
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7.97SUNY Maritime College-0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annika VanderHorst | 3.7% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 15.7% | 21.9% | 23.4% | 11.2% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 6.0% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 15.9% | 18.2% | 16.4% | 12.8% | 7.1% | 2.0% |
| Adra Ivancich | 9.7% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 15.5% | 16.9% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Bridget Green | 34.6% | 29.5% | 16.3% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 7.0% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 17.2% | 15.2% | 9.3% | 4.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 25.4% | 23.4% | 20.9% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Carly Mraz | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 16.4% | 31.0% | 21.8% |
| Ava Gustafson | 10.8% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 16.5% | 16.3% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 4.9% | 1.3% |
| Eva Leggett | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 19.4% | 58.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.