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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.69+1.38vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.32+0.99vs Predicted
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3Fordham University0.99+2.25vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.41+0.28vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+1.25vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.43-1.67vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-2.39vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College-0.90-0.02vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-0.09-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38Cornell University2.690.4%1st Place
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2.99Cornell University2.320.2%1st Place
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5.25Fordham University0.990.1%1st Place
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4.28University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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6.25U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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4.33Cornell University1.430.1%1st Place
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4.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.1%1st Place
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7.98SUNY Maritime College-0.900.0%1st Place
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6.93Princeton University-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 35.9% | 26.1% | 16.6% | 11.2% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 22.2% | 24.4% | 19.3% | 15.1% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 5.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 20.1% | 11.0% | 3.3% |
| Adra Ivancich | 10.1% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 15.8% | 14.7% | 16.0% | 9.8% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 3.1% | 3.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 18.4% | 21.5% | 13.6% |
| Ava Gustafson | 10.4% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 16.3% | 17.1% | 15.3% | 10.6% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 9.1% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 17.8% | 15.9% | 12.8% | 6.7% | 1.1% |
| Eva Leggett | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 8.0% | 19.0% | 59.0% |
| Carly Mraz | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 16.7% | 32.2% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.