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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+6.59vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.44+7.39vs Predicted
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3University of Miami3.69+5.51vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.93+3.74vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+2.26vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.45+3.52vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.67+1.73vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.26+2.12vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.39+0.67vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.35-0.05vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College4.05-3.86vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University4.31-5.78vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.70-4.58vs Predicted
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14University of Miami3.25-3.92vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.89-7.17vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.88-8.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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9.39Connecticut College3.440.0%1st Place
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8.51University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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7.74College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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7.26St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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9.52Brown University3.450.0%1st Place
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8.73Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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10.12Georgetown University3.260.0%1st Place
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9.67University of Vermont3.390.0%1st Place
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9.95Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.14Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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6.22Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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8.42Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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10.08University of Miami3.250.0%1st Place
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7.83Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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7.81Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Sommer | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% |
| Peter Miller | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.0% |
| David Hernandez | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% |
| Fletcher Sims | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.8% |
| Emily Lambert | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.0% |
| Andrew Mason | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 13.4% |
| Mackenzie Spencer | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 11.4% |
| Matt Johnson | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.5% |
| Matthew Wefer | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% |
| Sean Bouchard | 11.4% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% |
| William Howard | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 11.9% |
| Cam Cullman | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| Alex Cook | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.