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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.32+1.91vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.41+2.60vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.69-0.66vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28+0.48vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+1.27vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.43-1.67vs Predicted
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7Fordham University0.99-1.84vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.09-1.06vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College-0.90-1.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.91Cornell University2.320.2%1st Place
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4.6University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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2.34Cornell University2.690.4%1st Place
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4.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.1%1st Place
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6.27U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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4.33Cornell University1.430.1%1st Place
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5.16Fordham University0.990.1%1st Place
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6.94Princeton University-0.090.0%1st Place
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7.98SUNY Maritime College-0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Devling | 24.6% | 23.5% | 18.8% | 14.9% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Adra Ivancich | 7.0% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 15.9% | 17.5% | 14.9% | 11.3% | 6.9% | 1.7% |
| Bridget Green | 36.0% | 27.6% | 15.8% | 11.1% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 9.3% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 15.4% | 13.3% | 5.3% | 1.3% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 22.9% | 21.2% | 13.4% |
| Ava Gustafson | 9.4% | 12.2% | 16.1% | 13.8% | 16.0% | 17.9% | 9.9% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 17.1% | 18.3% | 16.6% | 10.4% | 2.6% |
| Carly Mraz | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 15.6% | 32.3% | 21.6% |
| Eva Leggett | 1.5% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 19.5% | 58.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.