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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.43+3.34vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.69+0.48vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.41+1.43vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.32-1.20vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-0.47vs Predicted
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6Fordham University0.99-0.93vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-0.61vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.09-1.04vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College-0.90-1.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.34Cornell University1.430.1%1st Place
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2.48Cornell University2.690.3%1st Place
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4.43University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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2.8Cornell University2.320.3%1st Place
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4.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.1%1st Place
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5.07Fordham University0.990.1%1st Place
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6.39U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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6.96Princeton University-0.090.0%1st Place
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8.0SUNY Maritime College-0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Gustafson | 10.4% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 16.7% | 16.9% | 15.2% | 10.8% | 4.7% | 0.6% |
| Bridget Green | 32.5% | 26.5% | 18.5% | 12.2% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Adra Ivancich | 10.0% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 16.4% | 17.4% | 15.2% | 11.2% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Sophia Devling | 25.3% | 24.1% | 20.8% | 14.2% | 9.2% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 8.7% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 15.1% | 16.6% | 11.4% | 6.4% | 1.8% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 7.2% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 15.9% | 18.3% | 16.2% | 10.0% | 2.2% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 13.7% | 21.0% | 25.7% | 11.6% |
| Carly Mraz | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 18.0% | 29.5% | 22.8% |
| Eva Leggett | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 8.3% | 18.4% | 59.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.