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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.32+1.89vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.69+0.47vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+3.43vs Predicted
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4Fordham University0.99+1.04vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-0.52vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.43-1.68vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.41-2.58vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.09-1.04vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College-0.90-1.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89Cornell University2.320.3%1st Place
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2.47Cornell University2.690.3%1st Place
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6.43U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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5.04Fordham University0.990.1%1st Place
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4.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.1%1st Place
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4.32Cornell University1.430.1%1st Place
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4.42University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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6.96Princeton University-0.090.0%1st Place
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8.0SUNY Maritime College-0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Devling | 26.4% | 21.9% | 18.7% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 31.9% | 26.6% | 20.5% | 11.4% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 22.7% | 25.2% | 11.7% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 17.6% | 16.1% | 9.1% | 3.1% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 8.7% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 11.6% | 6.6% | 1.7% |
| Ava Gustafson | 10.0% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 16.0% | 17.8% | 15.9% | 9.6% | 4.4% | 0.7% |
| Adra Ivancich | 10.0% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 18.9% | 14.9% | 10.3% | 5.7% | 1.0% |
| Carly Mraz | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 17.8% | 30.1% | 22.4% |
| Eva Leggett | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 8.5% | 18.1% | 59.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.