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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.69+1.38vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.32+0.96vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28+1.69vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.41+0.28vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+1.28vs Predicted
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6Fordham University0.99-0.90vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.43-2.64vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.09-1.03vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College-0.90-1.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38Cornell University2.690.4%1st Place
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2.96Cornell University2.320.2%1st Place
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4.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.1%1st Place
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4.28University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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6.28U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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5.1Fordham University0.990.1%1st Place
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4.36Cornell University1.430.1%1st Place
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6.97Princeton University-0.090.0%1st Place
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7.99SUNY Maritime College-0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 35.6% | 26.2% | 17.5% | 10.8% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 23.2% | 23.8% | 19.2% | 15.2% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 7.3% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 16.2% | 17.6% | 14.0% | 6.0% | 1.6% |
| Adra Ivancich | 10.3% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 19.4% | 22.0% | 13.8% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 18.2% | 17.0% | 9.6% | 2.5% |
| Ava Gustafson | 10.3% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 15.7% | 18.2% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 5.2% | 0.9% |
| Carly Mraz | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 16.7% | 31.8% | 21.8% |
| Eva Leggett | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 19.7% | 58.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.