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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.69+1.37vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.41+2.58vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.43+1.42vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28+0.50vs Predicted
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5Fordham University0.99+0.03vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.32-3.17vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-0.62vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.09-1.08vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College-0.90-1.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.37Cornell University2.690.4%1st Place
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4.58University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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4.42Cornell University1.430.1%1st Place
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4.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.1%1st Place
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5.03Fordham University0.990.1%1st Place
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2.83Cornell University2.320.2%1st Place
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6.38U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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6.92Princeton University-0.090.0%1st Place
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7.99SUNY Maritime College-0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 36.3% | 25.0% | 18.3% | 10.5% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adra Ivancich | 7.0% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 17.1% | 18.8% | 16.0% | 10.4% | 5.7% | 1.5% |
| Ava Gustafson | 9.0% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 16.1% | 15.6% | 16.2% | 11.2% | 5.0% | 1.0% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 9.7% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 16.3% | 15.5% | 13.0% | 4.9% | 1.3% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 6.9% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 10.4% | 3.8% |
| Sophia Devling | 24.3% | 25.7% | 19.5% | 14.4% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 22.4% | 25.2% | 11.2% |
| Carly Mraz | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 17.7% | 29.7% | 22.1% |
| Eva Leggett | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 18.6% | 59.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.