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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28+3.59vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.32+1.05vs Predicted
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3Fordham University0.99+2.18vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.69-1.68vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.43-0.78vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.41-1.69vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-0.62vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.09-1.04vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College-0.90-1.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.1%1st Place
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3.05Cornell University2.320.2%1st Place
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5.18Fordham University0.990.1%1st Place
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2.32Cornell University2.690.4%1st Place
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4.22Cornell University1.430.1%1st Place
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4.31University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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6.38U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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6.96Princeton University-0.090.0%1st Place
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8.0SUNY Maritime College-0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Starck | 8.3% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 17.4% | 16.9% | 12.5% | 6.2% | 0.9% |
| Sophia Devling | 20.7% | 23.7% | 19.5% | 16.8% | 10.2% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 6.2% | 6.4% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 15.5% | 18.3% | 16.7% | 10.9% | 2.8% |
| Bridget Green | 37.8% | 24.6% | 17.5% | 12.1% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ava Gustafson | 9.4% | 16.3% | 15.5% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 1.1% |
| Adra Ivancich | 11.3% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 17.3% | 17.6% | 15.1% | 10.6% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 14.6% | 20.8% | 25.6% | 11.6% |
| Carly Mraz | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 17.9% | 29.0% | 23.0% |
| Eva Leggett | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 8.6% | 17.8% | 59.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.