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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.69+1.37vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.32+0.98vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+3.43vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.43+0.26vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-0.51vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.41-1.62vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.09+0.02vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College-0.90-0.04vs Predicted
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9Fordham University0.99-3.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.37Cornell University2.690.4%1st Place
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2.98Cornell University2.320.2%1st Place
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6.43U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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4.26Cornell University1.430.1%1st Place
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4.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.1%1st Place
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4.38University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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7.02Princeton University-0.090.0%1st Place
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7.96SUNY Maritime College-0.900.0%1st Place
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5.12Fordham University0.990.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 35.9% | 25.6% | 17.7% | 11.2% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 22.6% | 23.1% | 19.5% | 15.7% | 10.7% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 14.3% | 21.4% | 24.8% | 12.4% |
| Ava Gustafson | 9.7% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 16.2% | 15.9% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 8.8% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 6.2% | 2.2% |
| Adra Ivancich | 10.4% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 17.8% | 15.9% | 11.0% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Carly Mraz | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 16.5% | 31.8% | 22.2% |
| Eva Leggett | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 9.0% | 18.0% | 58.5% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 15.7% | 18.6% | 16.2% | 9.9% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.