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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.69+1.38vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.32+0.98vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.41+1.46vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.43+0.23vs Predicted
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5Fordham University0.99+0.01vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-1.42vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.09+0.02vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-1.66vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College-0.90-1.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38Cornell University2.690.4%1st Place
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2.98Cornell University2.320.2%1st Place
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4.46University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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4.23Cornell University1.430.1%1st Place
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5.01Fordham University0.990.1%1st Place
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4.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.1%1st Place
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7.02Princeton University-0.090.0%1st Place
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6.34U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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7.99SUNY Maritime College-0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 35.7% | 25.4% | 18.1% | 11.1% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 22.9% | 23.4% | 19.4% | 14.9% | 10.4% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Adra Ivancich | 8.5% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 17.4% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 5.1% | 1.0% |
| Ava Gustafson | 10.4% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 18.3% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 10.5% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 16.4% | 15.3% | 9.2% | 4.4% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 8.7% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 16.9% | 18.0% | 12.5% | 5.2% | 1.1% |
| Carly Mraz | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 11.0% | 15.6% | 33.0% | 21.7% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 20.7% | 24.0% | 12.1% |
| Eva Leggett | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 9.1% | 18.8% | 58.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.