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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.43+3.33vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+4.54vs Predicted
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3Fordham University0.99+2.18vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28+0.52vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.69-2.67vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.32-3.19vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College-0.90+1.02vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.41-3.63vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-0.09-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.33Cornell University1.430.1%1st Place
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6.54U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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5.18Fordham University0.990.1%1st Place
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4.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.1%1st Place
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2.33Cornell University2.690.4%1st Place
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2.81Cornell University2.320.2%1st Place
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8.02SUNY Maritime College-0.900.0%1st Place
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4.37University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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6.9Princeton University-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Gustafson | 10.0% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 17.4% | 16.9% | 15.2% | 10.2% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 2.1% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 22.4% | 26.7% | 12.7% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 5.4% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 18.3% | 18.0% | 9.5% | 3.8% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 7.6% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 16.0% | 15.4% | 17.1% | 12.2% | 4.9% | 1.3% |
| Bridget Green | 38.8% | 23.5% | 17.8% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 23.5% | 27.3% | 18.3% | 14.3% | 10.8% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Eva Leggett | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 19.3% | 59.1% |
| Adra Ivancich | 9.7% | 10.1% | 16.0% | 16.0% | 17.7% | 15.1% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Carly Mraz | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 17.5% | 30.4% | 20.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.