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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.69+1.33vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.41+2.58vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.43+1.38vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.32-1.22vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-0.48vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.09+0.94vs Predicted
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7Fordham University0.99-1.85vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-1.65vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College-0.90-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.33Cornell University2.690.4%1st Place
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4.58University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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4.38Cornell University1.430.1%1st Place
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2.78Cornell University2.320.3%1st Place
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4.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.1%1st Place
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6.94Princeton University-0.090.0%1st Place
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5.15Fordham University0.990.1%1st Place
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6.35U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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7.96SUNY Maritime College-0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 36.1% | 27.4% | 16.6% | 11.1% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adra Ivancich | 7.2% | 9.5% | 14.0% | 18.9% | 16.2% | 15.2% | 11.3% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| Ava Gustafson | 9.7% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 17.7% | 16.1% | 11.5% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 25.1% | 25.1% | 20.6% | 13.9% | 9.1% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 9.1% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 14.3% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 11.7% | 7.1% | 1.8% |
| Carly Mraz | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 17.0% | 32.0% | 20.7% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 16.7% | 19.7% | 15.6% | 9.4% | 3.3% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 22.7% | 22.0% | 13.2% |
| Eva Leggett | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 19.2% | 58.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.