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📊 Prediction Accuracy

31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Andrew Sommer 6.8% 8.3% 8.4% 6.4% 7.7% 7.6% 5.3% 8.1% 6.7% 5.1% 6.4% 6.0% 5.2% 5.5% 3.8% 2.7%
Peter Miller 3.9% 5.8% 5.3% 5.6% 5.5% 5.5% 5.3% 5.5% 4.7% 5.8% 7.9% 6.2% 7.0% 7.2% 8.8% 10.0%
Matthew Wefer 9.4% 7.8% 6.6% 8.0% 7.3% 8.8% 7.5% 6.8% 6.8% 7.9% 5.8% 4.8% 4.2% 3.6% 3.2% 1.5%
Alex Cook 6.2% 7.4% 7.8% 6.7% 6.9% 6.8% 5.4% 7.0% 7.8% 5.7% 7.5% 5.6% 4.9% 6.2% 4.2% 3.9%
Fletcher Sims 8.2% 8.1% 8.0% 6.3% 8.8% 8.3% 7.9% 6.0% 5.9% 7.1% 5.4% 5.2% 5.1% 4.3% 4.0% 1.4%
Sean Bouchard 9.4% 11.9% 12.1% 8.9% 7.1% 7.3% 8.1% 7.1% 5.3% 5.0% 4.6% 4.1% 3.9% 2.4% 2.3% 0.5%
David Hernandez 6.2% 6.3% 6.3% 4.5% 6.7% 5.8% 6.3% 5.5% 7.2% 5.7% 6.2% 7.0% 7.1% 7.4% 6.1% 5.7%
Emily Lambert 6.4% 5.9% 6.0% 6.2% 7.1% 5.0% 6.8% 6.3% 5.8% 6.6% 6.4% 7.4% 7.0% 6.0% 6.0% 5.1%
Zeke Horowitz 7.9% 7.8% 7.1% 7.8% 7.3% 7.0% 6.6% 6.9% 7.7% 7.2% 5.1% 5.2% 4.9% 4.0% 4.0% 3.5%
Matt Johnson 4.3% 4.3% 4.1% 4.5% 4.0% 4.3% 5.5% 5.9% 4.3% 7.0% 6.7% 8.2% 8.5% 9.1% 8.9% 10.4%
Cam Cullman 8.4% 6.4% 6.9% 8.2% 5.2% 6.5% 6.8% 6.4% 7.5% 7.5% 6.1% 6.1% 6.1% 4.1% 4.9% 2.9%
Emily Dellenbaugh 5.2% 4.5% 3.4% 5.3% 6.3% 5.6% 7.0% 5.1% 6.4% 3.9% 6.3% 6.4% 7.7% 8.2% 8.5% 10.2%
William Howard 2.9% 3.5% 4.4% 5.3% 4.5% 4.5% 5.4% 5.4% 5.2% 5.9% 6.0% 6.9% 6.3% 9.5% 10.3% 14.0%
Andrew Mason 4.6% 3.5% 3.6% 4.4% 4.5% 5.8% 5.0% 5.5% 5.7% 6.5% 5.7% 6.5% 7.1% 8.3% 10.6% 12.7%
Massimo Soriano 6.5% 4.3% 5.6% 6.1% 7.2% 6.5% 6.2% 6.1% 6.7% 6.2% 7.5% 6.5% 7.4% 6.5% 6.2% 4.5%
Mackenzie Spencer 3.7% 4.2% 4.4% 5.8% 3.9% 4.7% 4.9% 6.4% 6.3% 6.9% 6.4% 7.9% 7.6% 7.7% 8.2% 11.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.