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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.69+1.37vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.43+2.52vs Predicted
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3Fordham University0.99+2.21vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.41+0.26vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-0.47vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.32-3.18vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.090.00vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College-0.90-0.03vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.37Cornell University2.690.4%1st Place
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4.52Cornell University1.430.1%1st Place
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5.21Fordham University0.990.1%1st Place
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4.26University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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4.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.1%1st Place
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2.82Cornell University2.320.2%1st Place
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7.0Princeton University-0.090.0%1st Place
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7.97SUNY Maritime College-0.900.0%1st Place
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6.33U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 37.1% | 24.7% | 17.3% | 10.5% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ava Gustafson | 7.3% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 17.1% | 17.0% | 15.7% | 11.7% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 5.7% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 15.1% | 18.8% | 17.2% | 10.3% | 3.2% |
| Adra Ivancich | 10.4% | 11.5% | 15.5% | 16.5% | 17.3% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 9.4% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 6.6% | 2.3% |
| Sophia Devling | 23.7% | 27.0% | 18.6% | 14.3% | 9.9% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Carly Mraz | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 15.3% | 32.5% | 21.8% |
| Eva Leggett | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 9.4% | 17.7% | 58.5% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 21.5% | 23.8% | 11.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.