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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.32+1.92vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.43+2.50vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.69-0.64vs Predicted
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4Fordham University0.99+1.01vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.41-0.69vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.09+0.93vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-0.62vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-3.38vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College-0.90-1.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92Cornell University2.320.2%1st Place
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4.5Cornell University1.430.1%1st Place
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2.36Cornell University2.690.4%1st Place
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5.01Fordham University0.990.1%1st Place
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4.31University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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6.93Princeton University-0.090.0%1st Place
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6.38U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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4.62Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.1%1st Place
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7.97SUNY Maritime College-0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Devling | 23.8% | 22.5% | 20.7% | 14.8% | 10.4% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ava Gustafson | 7.4% | 10.3% | 14.4% | 17.2% | 18.4% | 15.9% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 1.2% |
| Bridget Green | 35.1% | 27.9% | 15.6% | 12.6% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 7.0% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 16.0% | 17.2% | 16.3% | 10.1% | 2.1% |
| Adra Ivancich | 10.2% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 15.1% | 10.9% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Carly Mraz | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 18.9% | 29.2% | 21.9% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 14.2% | 21.9% | 23.8% | 12.5% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 9.4% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 16.3% | 16.7% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 1.7% |
| Eva Leggett | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 18.9% | 58.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.