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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.89+6.34vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+5.38vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.35+6.54vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.44+5.37vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.26+4.86vs Predicted
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6University of Miami3.69+2.33vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.93+0.46vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-1.23vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.70-0.85vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.45-0.73vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College4.05-4.12vs Predicted
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12University of Miami3.25-2.07vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.88-5.56vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University4.31-8.20vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.34-1.97vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.39-6.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.34Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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7.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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9.54Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.37Connecticut College3.440.0%1st Place
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9.86Georgetown University3.260.0%1st Place
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8.33University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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7.46College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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6.77St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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8.15Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.27Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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6.88Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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9.93University of Miami3.250.0%1st Place
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7.44Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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5.8Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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13.03Harvard University2.340.0%1st Place
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9.45University of Vermont3.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Cullman | 6.7% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Andrew Sommer | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% |
| Matt Johnson | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% |
| Peter Miller | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 6.2% |
| Andrew Mason | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 7.9% |
| David Hernandez | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Fletcher Sims | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Massimo Soriano | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 4.9% |
| Matthew Wefer | 9.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% |
| William Howard | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 13.4% | 8.9% |
| Alex Cook | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Sean Bouchard | 12.2% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Richard Bergsund | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 13.8% | 41.7% |
| Mackenzie Spencer | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.