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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.65+2.66vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University0.88+3.43vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.25+1.59vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College0.84+1.73vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.13+0.04vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.35+1.16vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.39-2.88vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.13+0.35vs Predicted
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9Williams College-1.69+3.04vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy-0.01-1.83vs Predicted
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11Bentley University-0.39-1.83vs Predicted
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12Bates College-0.50-2.61vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-1.67-1.08vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.90-3.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66Bowdoin College1.650.2%1st Place
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5.43Northeastern University0.880.1%1st Place
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4.59Boston University1.250.1%1st Place
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5.73Bowdoin College0.840.1%1st Place
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5.04University of Vermont1.130.1%1st Place
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7.16University of New Hampshire0.350.1%1st Place
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4.12Dartmouth College1.390.2%1st Place
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8.35University of New Hampshire-0.130.0%1st Place
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12.04Williams College-1.690.0%1st Place
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8.17Maine Maritime Academy-0.010.0%1st Place
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9.17Bentley University-0.390.0%1st Place
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9.39Bates College-0.500.0%1st Place
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11.92Middlebury College-1.670.0%1st Place
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10.22Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Stevens | 22.2% | 17.3% | 17.8% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boni | 9.8% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 13.6% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sophie Brett | 7.2% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Smith | 10.2% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sam Harris | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte West | 16.9% | 16.5% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lund | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 2.0% |
| Max Harthorne | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 13.9% | 23.1% | 38.8% |
| Isaac Thompson | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| John O'Connell | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 9.1% | 4.3% |
| Harrison Nash | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 5.5% |
| Talia Trigg | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 22.7% | 37.4% |
| cole capizzo | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 13.1% | 18.8% | 17.2% | 9.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.