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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.65+2.67vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College0.84+3.53vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.25+1.62vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.35+3.08vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.88+0.67vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy-0.01+2.14vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.13-2.31vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.39-3.69vs Predicted
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9Bates College-0.50+0.46vs Predicted
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10Williams College-1.69+2.10vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.90-0.55vs Predicted
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12Bentley University-0.39-2.87vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-1.67-1.08vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-0.13-5.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.67Bowdoin College1.650.2%1st Place
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5.53Bowdoin College0.840.1%1st Place
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4.62Boston University1.250.1%1st Place
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7.08University of New Hampshire0.350.0%1st Place
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5.67Northeastern University0.880.1%1st Place
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8.14Maine Maritime Academy-0.010.0%1st Place
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4.69University of Vermont1.130.1%1st Place
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4.31Dartmouth College1.390.2%1st Place
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9.46Bates College-0.500.0%1st Place
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12.1Williams College-1.690.0%1st Place
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10.45Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.900.0%1st Place
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9.13Bentley University-0.390.0%1st Place
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11.92Middlebury College-1.670.0%1st Place
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8.24University of New Hampshire-0.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Stevens | 21.3% | 18.0% | 17.1% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Brett | 8.9% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 13.5% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Harris | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Aidan Boni | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Isaac Thompson | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Cooper Smith | 13.6% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte West | 15.6% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Nash | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 15.4% | 16.2% | 10.4% | 4.9% |
| Max Harthorne | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 24.9% | 38.2% |
| cole capizzo | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 13.9% | 17.7% | 17.6% | 12.1% |
| John O'Connell | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 8.9% | 4.9% |
| Talia Trigg | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 11.9% | 24.4% | 35.7% |
| Sean Lund | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 15.5% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.