Race 3A

barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

14.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Elliott Mendenhall 14.5% 13.8% 14.0% 11.0% 12.1% 9.8% 8.0% 6.5% 4.1% 3.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Benjamin Stevens 21.8% 18.1% 16.8% 13.7% 10.2% 6.8% 5.8% 3.3% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Aidan Boni 9.0% 10.7% 9.1% 10.6% 10.2% 11.7% 9.9% 9.4% 9.1% 5.7% 2.4% 1.8% 0.2% 0.2%
Sam Harris 3.8% 6.3% 7.2% 7.4% 8.0% 8.0% 11.8% 10.0% 9.8% 11.6% 8.2% 5.2% 2.2% 0.5%
Cooper Smith 9.9% 12.1% 13.1% 11.8% 12.2% 10.2% 9.5% 8.2% 5.9% 3.6% 2.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Isaac Thompson 3.5% 4.2% 3.9% 5.0% 5.2% 7.8% 8.6% 9.6% 12.9% 11.6% 11.3% 8.4% 6.1% 1.9%
Charlotte West 17.3% 15.9% 12.4% 14.0% 11.3% 9.9% 8.2% 4.5% 3.4% 2.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
cole capizzo 1.6% 1.8% 2.3% 3.2% 2.9% 3.2% 3.9% 5.4% 6.8% 9.9% 12.6% 17.6% 16.4% 12.4%
Sophie Brett 8.0% 8.8% 9.3% 9.7% 11.8% 12.4% 10.6% 9.4% 9.1% 4.8% 2.8% 2.4% 0.8% 0.1%
Max Harthorne 1.0% 0.7% 0.8% 1.1% 1.3% 1.3% 1.6% 2.3% 3.0% 4.2% 9.1% 13.9% 20.8% 38.9%
Sean Lund 3.3% 2.6% 4.5% 3.8% 6.1% 7.7% 8.1% 9.7% 9.7% 11.9% 13.9% 9.6% 7.0% 2.1%
John O'Connell 2.8% 1.9% 3.2% 4.0% 3.5% 5.4% 6.7% 9.7% 11.1% 11.5% 13.2% 13.1% 9.9% 4.0%
Harrison Nash 3.0% 2.2% 2.7% 3.5% 3.8% 4.4% 5.4% 9.1% 10.4% 11.9% 12.7% 15.2% 10.9% 4.8%
Talia Trigg 0.5% 0.9% 0.7% 1.2% 1.4% 1.4% 1.9% 2.9% 2.8% 6.6% 9.1% 10.8% 24.7% 35.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.