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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.65+2.72vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.25+2.50vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.39+1.29vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College0.84+1.68vs Predicted
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5Williams College-1.69+7.04vs Predicted
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6Bentley University-0.39+3.20vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.88-1.64vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.13-3.07vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy-0.01-0.91vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-0.13-1.52vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire0.35-3.90vs Predicted
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12Bates College-0.50-2.62vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.90-2.69vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.67-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.72Bowdoin College1.650.2%1st Place
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4.5Boston University1.250.1%1st Place
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4.29Dartmouth College1.390.2%1st Place
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5.68Bowdoin College0.840.1%1st Place
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12.04Williams College-1.690.0%1st Place
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9.2Bentley University-0.390.0%1st Place
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5.36Northeastern University0.880.1%1st Place
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4.93University of Vermont1.130.1%1st Place
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8.09Maine Maritime Academy-0.010.0%1st Place
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8.48University of New Hampshire-0.130.0%1st Place
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7.1University of New Hampshire0.350.0%1st Place
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9.38Bates College-0.500.0%1st Place
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10.31Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.900.0%1st Place
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11.92Middlebury College-1.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Stevens | 20.4% | 19.2% | 15.8% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 14.6% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte West | 15.4% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Brett | 7.2% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Max Harthorne | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 22.6% | 38.4% |
| John O'Connell | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 9.4% | 5.2% |
| Aidan Boni | 11.0% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Cooper Smith | 12.0% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Thompson | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 1.0% |
| Sean Lund | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 6.2% | 2.7% |
| Sam Harris | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Harrison Nash | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 5.6% |
| cole capizzo | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 15.8% | 19.9% | 10.8% |
| Talia Trigg | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 13.2% | 22.1% | 35.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.