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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.13+3.88vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University0.88+3.40vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.13+5.33vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.50+5.37vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.25-0.30vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.35+1.21vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.65-3.42vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.39-3.66vs Predicted
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9Bentley University-0.39+0.11vs Predicted
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10Williams College-1.69+2.08vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College0.84-5.24vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy-0.01-3.97vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.90-2.72vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.67-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.88University of Vermont1.130.1%1st Place
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5.4Northeastern University0.880.1%1st Place
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8.33University of New Hampshire-0.130.0%1st Place
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9.37Bates College-0.500.0%1st Place
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4.7Boston University1.250.1%1st Place
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7.21University of New Hampshire0.350.0%1st Place
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3.58Bowdoin College1.650.2%1st Place
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4.34Dartmouth College1.390.2%1st Place
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9.11Bentley University-0.390.0%1st Place
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12.08Williams College-1.690.0%1st Place
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5.76Bowdoin College0.840.1%1st Place
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8.03Maine Maritime Academy-0.010.0%1st Place
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10.28Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.900.0%1st Place
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11.94Middlebury College-1.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Smith | 12.1% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boni | 9.5% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sean Lund | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 1.4% |
| Harrison Nash | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 11.7% | 5.0% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 11.5% | 12.7% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Harris | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 22.2% | 18.6% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte West | 15.3% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John O'Connell | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 9.3% | 3.7% |
| Max Harthorne | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 20.0% | 40.9% |
| Sophie Brett | 8.8% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Isaac Thompson | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 1.3% |
| cole capizzo | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 16.4% | 18.1% | 10.9% |
| Talia Trigg | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 23.7% | 36.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.