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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.25+3.60vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.65+1.60vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.13+1.91vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.39+0.34vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.35+2.19vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.88-0.31vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.13+1.10vs Predicted
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8Bentley University-0.39+1.05vs Predicted
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9Williams College-1.69+3.07vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College0.84-4.29vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy-0.01-2.85vs Predicted
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12Bates College-0.50-2.62vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.90-2.69vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.67-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.6Boston University1.250.1%1st Place
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3.6Bowdoin College1.650.2%1st Place
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4.91University of Vermont1.130.1%1st Place
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4.34Dartmouth College1.390.1%1st Place
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7.19University of New Hampshire0.350.0%1st Place
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5.69Northeastern University0.880.1%1st Place
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8.1University of New Hampshire-0.130.0%1st Place
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9.05Bentley University-0.390.0%1st Place
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12.07Williams College-1.690.0%1st Place
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5.71Bowdoin College0.840.1%1st Place
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8.15Maine Maritime Academy-0.010.0%1st Place
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9.38Bates College-0.500.0%1st Place
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10.31Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.900.0%1st Place
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11.91Middlebury College-1.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Mendenhall | 13.2% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 21.1% | 19.0% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Smith | 12.7% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte West | 14.9% | 15.5% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Harris | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Aidan Boni | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Sean Lund | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 5.0% | 1.3% |
| John O'Connell | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 4.5% |
| Max Harthorne | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 13.1% | 22.0% | 39.9% |
| Sophie Brett | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Isaac Thompson | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
| Harrison Nash | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 5.3% |
| cole capizzo | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 18.1% | 17.6% | 10.9% |
| Talia Trigg | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 22.1% | 35.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.