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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.25+3.58vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College0.84+3.54vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.13+1.89vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.65-0.29vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.39-0.61vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.88-0.31vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.35-0.14vs Predicted
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8Williams College-1.69+3.91vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-0.13-0.55vs Predicted
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10Bates College-0.50-0.49vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy-0.01-2.87vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.90-1.61vs Predicted
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13Bentley University-0.39-3.97vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.67-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.58Boston University1.250.1%1st Place
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5.54Bowdoin College0.840.1%1st Place
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4.89University of Vermont1.130.1%1st Place
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3.71Bowdoin College1.650.2%1st Place
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4.39Dartmouth College1.390.1%1st Place
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5.69Northeastern University0.880.1%1st Place
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6.86University of New Hampshire0.350.1%1st Place
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11.91Williams College-1.690.0%1st Place
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8.45University of New Hampshire-0.130.0%1st Place
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9.51Bates College-0.500.0%1st Place
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8.13Maine Maritime Academy-0.010.0%1st Place
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10.39Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.900.0%1st Place
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9.03Bentley University-0.390.0%1st Place
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11.92Middlebury College-1.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Mendenhall | 13.3% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Brett | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Cooper Smith | 12.5% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 19.9% | 17.9% | 16.7% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte West | 13.0% | 15.8% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boni | 10.0% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Harris | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Max Harthorne | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 23.6% | 37.7% |
| Sean Lund | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 2.5% |
| Harrison Nash | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 18.7% | 11.4% | 5.0% |
| Isaac Thompson | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
| cole capizzo | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 16.8% | 17.2% | 12.3% |
| John O'Connell | 3.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 8.3% | 4.3% |
| Talia Trigg | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 24.5% | 35.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.