Race 1B

barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Gavin Sanborn 12.9% 12.6% 12.5% 12.1% 11.5% 10.6% 9.3% 6.9% 5.3% 3.6% 2.0% 0.5% 0.2%
Riley Donahue 13.1% 11.3% 13.0% 12.7% 11.9% 9.8% 8.2% 7.3% 6.3% 3.5% 1.5% 1.3% 0.1%
Carter Anderson 11.5% 13.3% 11.1% 11.8% 10.0% 12.6% 9.3% 8.1% 5.6% 3.9% 1.6% 1.1% 0.1%
Shea McGrath 8.9% 8.6% 10.0% 11.6% 9.7% 8.9% 11.1% 7.6% 8.4% 7.5% 5.1% 2.2% 0.4%
Nathan Selian 23.0% 18.5% 16.5% 12.5% 11.1% 6.1% 5.9% 2.3% 2.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Ted Richardsson 4.8% 4.6% 5.5% 6.2% 6.9% 7.7% 6.9% 10.4% 11.2% 11.6% 11.2% 9.8% 3.2%
Will Eggena 7.0% 6.7% 7.0% 6.5% 7.5% 8.9% 9.9% 10.7% 9.5% 9.8% 9.3% 5.5% 1.7%
Marykate Hanus 7.6% 8.6% 8.3% 8.3% 9.9% 10.3% 10.0% 10.4% 9.4% 6.8% 6.8% 2.6% 1.0%
Griffin Stolp 3.6% 4.5% 4.4% 5.5% 4.7% 6.4% 7.8% 9.5% 10.5% 11.4% 12.8% 12.7% 6.2%
Kevin McNeill 2.5% 4.0% 3.4% 3.4% 4.6% 5.1% 6.0% 8.0% 8.9% 10.4% 15.2% 18.9% 9.6%
Andrew Blagden 2.4% 2.9% 4.7% 4.6% 6.0% 5.8% 6.8% 8.1% 10.4% 12.6% 12.9% 15.2% 7.6%
Georgia Green 0.3% 1.0% 0.5% 1.2% 1.0% 1.7% 2.1% 2.5% 3.3% 4.7% 7.2% 14.0% 60.5%
Felix Nusbaum 2.4% 3.4% 3.1% 3.6% 5.2% 6.1% 6.7% 8.2% 8.7% 12.9% 14.1% 16.2% 9.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.