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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.26+8.68vs Predicted
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2University of Miami3.69+6.16vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.89+4.50vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.35+5.75vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.93+2.43vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College4.05+0.94vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.34+5.89vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.39+1.34vs Predicted
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9University of Miami3.25+0.86vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.45-0.73vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University4.31-4.99vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.70-3.76vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.88-5.56vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.44-4.98vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-7.49vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-9.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.68Georgetown University3.260.0%1st Place
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8.16University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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7.5Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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9.75Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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7.43College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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6.94Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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12.89Harvard University2.340.0%1st Place
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9.34University of Vermont3.390.0%1st Place
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9.86University of Miami3.250.0%1st Place
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9.27Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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6.01Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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8.24Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.44Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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9.02Connecticut College3.440.1%1st Place
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7.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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6.96St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Mason | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 7.1% |
| David Hernandez | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 2.8% |
| Cam Cullman | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Matt Johnson | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 7.5% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 7.7% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Richard Bergsund | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 42.8% |
| Mackenzie Spencer | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% |
| William Howard | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.5% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% |
| Sean Bouchard | 11.8% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Massimo Soriano | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% |
| Alex Cook | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Peter Miller | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.3% |
| Andrew Sommer | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Fletcher Sims | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.