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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.64+3.54vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.30+3.21vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.78+0.99vs Predicted
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4Florida Institute of Technology0.73+2.70vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.40+0.10vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.43+2.23vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.58-2.34vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.02-1.21vs Predicted
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9University of Central Florida-0.46+1.62vs Predicted
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10The Citadel0.33-1.85vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.45+2.09vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University0.65-3.80vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-1.51+0.20vs Predicted
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14University of South Carolina-2.24+0.85vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.92-0.83vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina-1.75-2.04vs Predicted
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17University of Florida-1.84-5.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.54University of Michigan1.6414.1%1st Place
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5.21University of California at Los Angeles1.3011.2%1st Place
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3.99North Carolina State University1.7816.8%1st Place
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6.7Florida Institute of Technology0.737.0%1st Place
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5.1North Carolina State University1.4010.9%1st Place
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8.23Boston University0.433.8%1st Place
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4.66Jacksonville University1.5813.8%1st Place
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6.79University of South Florida1.027.1%1st Place
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10.62University of Central Florida-0.461.9%1st Place
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8.15The Citadel0.334.6%1st Place
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13.09University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.450.8%1st Place
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8.2Christopher Newport University0.654.4%1st Place
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13.2Embry-Riddle University-1.511.2%1st Place
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14.85University of South Carolina-2.240.4%1st Place
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14.17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.920.6%1st Place
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13.96University of North Carolina-1.750.5%1st Place
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11.55University of Florida-1.841.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Vogel | 14.1% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 11.2% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 16.8% | 17.0% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Chase | 10.9% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Cabell | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Cole Schweda | 13.8% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Erin Winters | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 16.7% | 15.3% | 9.8% |
| Grace Watlington | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Josh Rosen | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 15.2% | 17.8% | 14.3% | 10.4% |
| Ryan Kanter | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 13.7% | 19.7% | 35.3% |
| Joey Dunn | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 20.5% | 22.2% |
| Runyon Tyler | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 16.6% | 20.4% | 18.9% |
| Marco Distel | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 10.8% | 5.5% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.