Race 2B

barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Marykate Hanus 7.5% 6.5% 9.3% 10.1% 8.1% 10.0% 10.4% 10.2% 9.2% 8.9% 5.5% 3.5% 0.8%
Shea McGrath 8.2% 9.3% 9.9% 8.5% 10.4% 12.2% 10.5% 8.9% 8.3% 6.8% 4.1% 2.5% 0.4%
Nathan Selian 21.0% 19.4% 16.2% 13.9% 9.8% 7.4% 5.7% 3.6% 1.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.2%
Gavin Sanborn 13.0% 13.0% 11.5% 12.6% 12.3% 9.9% 8.1% 8.0% 5.4% 4.3% 1.5% 0.1% 0.3%
Carter Anderson 12.8% 12.7% 13.0% 11.2% 10.9% 9.7% 9.7% 8.1% 4.8% 4.0% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
Will Eggena 6.4% 5.0% 7.0% 7.8% 8.3% 10.0% 9.6% 9.2% 10.5% 9.7% 9.4% 5.3% 1.8%
Kevin McNeill 3.4% 3.6% 3.4% 3.8% 5.5% 5.2% 5.3% 6.9% 9.9% 12.0% 14.9% 16.6% 9.5%
Ted Richardsson 4.1% 5.8% 4.5% 6.3% 6.2% 6.5% 9.1% 9.3% 11.9% 12.5% 12.0% 8.2% 3.6%
Andrew Blagden 3.5% 3.0% 3.1% 4.2% 4.4% 5.2% 7.3% 7.4% 9.5% 12.1% 14.3% 18.4% 7.6%
Griffin Stolp 4.3% 4.0% 4.4% 4.3% 6.1% 6.8% 8.9% 9.2% 10.3% 10.5% 13.7% 10.9% 6.6%
Riley Donahue 12.3% 14.5% 13.6% 11.6% 11.9% 9.7% 8.4% 7.3% 6.0% 1.8% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1%
Felix Nusbaum 2.9% 2.6% 3.7% 4.1% 5.3% 6.0% 5.7% 9.2% 9.6% 11.8% 12.8% 18.2% 8.1%
Georgia Green 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 1.6% 0.8% 1.4% 1.3% 2.7% 3.1% 4.6% 7.0% 15.0% 60.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.