Race 3B

barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Shea McGrath 8.5% 9.2% 10.2% 10.8% 10.1% 10.0% 9.9% 9.9% 7.5% 7.4% 3.1% 2.8% 0.6%
Nathan Selian 22.8% 18.1% 16.6% 13.7% 9.4% 6.2% 5.9% 3.9% 1.9% 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Will Eggena 4.9% 5.1% 7.1% 8.7% 9.0% 7.4% 9.1% 10.7% 12.1% 9.3% 8.2% 7.1% 1.3%
Gavin Sanborn 12.5% 13.7% 12.9% 11.7% 9.9% 12.6% 8.1% 7.5% 5.3% 3.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.2%
Riley Donahue 14.2% 11.8% 13.4% 11.2% 11.2% 10.3% 9.9% 6.6% 4.6% 3.3% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1%
Carter Anderson 12.2% 14.6% 11.8% 11.2% 12.6% 10.4% 7.2% 6.8% 6.6% 3.5% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%
Marykate Hanus 9.1% 7.7% 8.3% 7.4% 8.5% 11.1% 11.6% 9.0% 9.8% 7.3% 6.9% 2.6% 0.7%
Ted Richardsson 4.6% 5.6% 5.1% 5.2% 5.3% 7.4% 9.7% 10.5% 10.8% 11.0% 11.9% 8.9% 4.0%
Griffin Stolp 3.6% 4.5% 3.3% 5.8% 6.7% 6.2% 7.8% 8.6% 9.8% 12.4% 11.7% 13.5% 6.1%
Georgia Green 0.6% 0.7% 1.3% 1.3% 1.1% 2.5% 1.6% 2.0% 4.0% 3.6% 7.6% 14.0% 59.7%
Kevin McNeill 2.6% 2.4% 3.4% 5.2% 5.5% 4.8% 6.5% 8.3% 9.3% 12.0% 15.3% 16.8% 7.9%
Andrew Blagden 2.0% 3.3% 3.5% 3.9% 5.7% 5.0% 7.0% 7.0% 9.6% 11.8% 14.6% 17.1% 9.5%
Felix Nusbaum 2.4% 3.3% 3.1% 3.9% 5.0% 6.1% 5.7% 9.2% 8.7% 14.2% 13.7% 15.1% 9.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.