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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.36+2.55vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College0.81+2.84vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire0.28+3.31vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.83+0.81vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College0.45+0.68vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.78-1.16vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy-0.41+1.04vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College0.02-1.07vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-0.26-1.16vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.72-1.05vs Predicted
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11Bentley University-0.64-2.38vs Predicted
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12Bates College-2.03-0.31vs Predicted
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14Williams College-0.60-5.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55Boston University1.360.2%1st Place
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4.84Bowdoin College0.810.1%1st Place
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6.31University of New Hampshire0.280.1%1st Place
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4.81University of Vermont0.830.1%1st Place
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5.68Bowdoin College0.450.1%1st Place
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4.84Northeastern University0.780.1%1st Place
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8.04Maine Maritime Academy-0.410.0%1st Place
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6.93Dartmouth College0.020.1%1st Place
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7.84University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
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8.95Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.720.0%1st Place
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8.62Bentley University-0.640.0%1st Place
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11.69Bates College-2.030.0%1st Place
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8.9Williams College-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Selian | 23.3% | 17.2% | 16.9% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Riley Donahue | 12.0% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Marykate Hanus | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 13.1% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Shea McGrath | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Carter Anderson | 12.6% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Griffin Stolp | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 4.2% |
| Will Eggena | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 2.0% |
| Ted Richardsson | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 4.1% |
| Kevin McNeill | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 15.7% | 17.6% | 10.0% |
| Andrew Blagden | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 7.4% |
| Georgia Green | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 13.5% | 61.0% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 14.7% | 16.6% | 9.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.