Race 5B

barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Shea McGrath 9.7% 9.9% 11.2% 10.7% 10.9% 11.4% 7.9% 9.4% 7.6% 5.8% 3.5% 1.6% 0.4%
Gavin Sanborn 13.7% 14.6% 13.7% 12.7% 12.5% 10.2% 7.7% 6.2% 4.1% 2.3% 1.5% 0.7% 0.1%
Nathan Selian 25.1% 19.3% 15.5% 13.3% 10.8% 6.4% 5.3% 2.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Will Eggena 4.7% 8.5% 7.3% 7.8% 8.3% 11.6% 9.0% 9.3% 9.6% 9.8% 7.9% 4.8% 1.4%
Griffin Stolp 4.5% 5.0% 4.6% 6.0% 6.9% 8.1% 8.4% 8.9% 10.7% 10.7% 11.6% 9.8% 4.8%
Riley Donahue 15.2% 13.9% 15.0% 11.3% 12.8% 8.4% 7.7% 6.4% 4.0% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Ted Richardsson 5.9% 4.5% 6.9% 8.2% 5.9% 6.5% 9.0% 10.5% 10.8% 11.0% 11.6% 6.9% 2.3%
Adrien Blanc 2.7% 4.5% 4.2% 4.0% 5.3% 5.5% 9.0% 8.9% 10.7% 11.8% 12.5% 15.2% 5.7%
Marykate Hanus 8.7% 8.2% 8.4% 10.7% 10.1% 10.9% 10.0% 8.7% 8.0% 7.6% 4.4% 3.2% 1.1%
Andrew Blagden 3.4% 4.1% 4.3% 4.5% 4.6% 7.3% 7.0% 9.7% 10.3% 10.3% 12.2% 13.5% 8.8%
Felix Nusbaum 3.4% 3.6% 4.8% 5.4% 6.1% 5.7% 9.3% 10.2% 10.8% 10.4% 12.1% 11.8% 6.4%
Kevin McNeill 2.4% 3.2% 3.5% 4.2% 4.5% 6.0% 7.8% 7.5% 8.3% 11.3% 13.6% 17.9% 9.8%
Georgia Green 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 1.2% 1.3% 2.0% 1.9% 2.0% 3.7% 5.1% 7.7% 14.1% 59.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.