Race 6B

barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Nathan Selian 24.7% 19.4% 17.6% 12.0% 10.2% 7.4% 4.2% 2.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Riley Donahue 14.0% 15.3% 12.6% 12.6% 11.4% 11.2% 8.0% 6.7% 3.9% 2.5% 0.8% 0.9% 0.1%
Will Eggena 4.8% 7.3% 7.7% 8.7% 9.0% 8.8% 10.0% 10.3% 10.9% 9.2% 7.6% 4.1% 1.6%
Shea McGrath 10.3% 9.7% 9.6% 11.8% 11.7% 10.4% 9.1% 9.3% 7.6% 5.0% 3.1% 2.1% 0.3%
Adrien Blanc 4.1% 3.9% 4.9% 4.4% 5.2% 6.2% 8.2% 8.6% 10.0% 11.8% 12.1% 13.3% 7.3%
Ted Richardsson 4.9% 5.3% 6.6% 6.3% 7.6% 7.9% 10.4% 10.2% 9.7% 9.9% 10.2% 7.8% 3.2%
Gavin Sanborn 15.4% 14.5% 13.0% 13.4% 10.2% 10.2% 8.7% 6.0% 3.9% 2.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Andrew Blagden 3.2% 4.5% 3.5% 4.8% 5.3% 5.8% 8.3% 7.4% 11.4% 10.9% 12.8% 14.3% 7.8%
Kevin McNeill 2.9% 3.4% 4.1% 3.9% 5.9% 4.3% 6.2% 8.9% 9.3% 11.8% 13.9% 15.7% 9.7%
Marykate Hanus 9.6% 7.5% 10.1% 10.7% 10.1% 10.7% 9.7% 8.6% 7.5% 6.8% 4.7% 2.9% 1.1%
Georgia Green 0.5% 1.0% 0.8% 0.7% 2.0% 2.0% 2.6% 3.1% 4.1% 5.7% 7.5% 14.8% 55.2%
Felix Nusbaum 2.5% 3.9% 4.4% 4.3% 5.9% 6.8% 7.5% 8.3% 9.5% 11.8% 12.5% 13.3% 9.3%
Griffin Stolp 3.1% 4.3% 5.1% 6.4% 5.5% 8.3% 7.1% 10.2% 10.9% 11.1% 13.1% 10.5% 4.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.