Race 7B

barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Will Eggena 6.4% 5.8% 8.0% 9.9% 9.5% 10.5% 8.5% 11.6% 11.0% 8.9% 5.2% 3.5% 1.2%
Nathan Selian 25.0% 20.7% 17.1% 12.2% 9.4% 6.7% 4.6% 2.5% 0.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Shea McGrath 8.3% 11.0% 11.5% 11.0% 11.2% 11.1% 10.5% 8.8% 7.9% 3.9% 3.2% 1.5% 0.1%
Gavin Sanborn 14.0% 16.2% 13.2% 12.6% 11.7% 11.6% 7.2% 6.1% 4.1% 2.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
Riley Donahue 15.5% 14.1% 15.8% 10.9% 11.2% 10.6% 8.5% 5.4% 3.3% 2.8% 1.8% 0.0% 0.1%
Griffin Stolp 4.8% 4.2% 4.2% 7.8% 7.4% 6.4% 9.9% 11.3% 10.1% 11.9% 11.4% 7.9% 2.7%
Marykate Hanus 10.3% 9.0% 8.9% 9.6% 10.3% 11.4% 10.9% 8.6% 8.6% 6.3% 3.8% 1.9% 0.4%
Adrien Blanc 3.9% 4.5% 4.4% 4.5% 5.5% 6.9% 8.6% 8.9% 11.4% 13.6% 14.3% 8.5% 5.0%
Ted Richardsson 4.6% 5.9% 5.0% 7.4% 8.1% 8.7% 8.7% 10.5% 11.1% 11.4% 9.6% 6.8% 2.2%
Georgia Green 0.9% 0.6% 1.8% 1.3% 1.8% 2.0% 2.1% 2.9% 4.4% 5.6% 10.0% 20.9% 45.7%
Kevin McNeill 2.6% 3.0% 4.9% 5.6% 5.8% 5.4% 8.7% 10.0% 10.9% 13.1% 13.9% 11.5% 4.6%
Grace Kokkotos 0.8% 1.1% 1.7% 1.7% 1.8% 2.9% 3.8% 4.3% 5.3% 6.3% 12.4% 24.9% 33.0%
Felix Nusbaum 2.9% 3.9% 3.5% 5.5% 6.3% 5.8% 8.0% 9.1% 11.5% 13.0% 13.4% 12.2% 4.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.