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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State Behrend0.24+1.64vs Predicted
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2Penn State University0.96-0.10vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30+0.33vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-0.26-0.72vs Predicted
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5University of Rochester-2.83+0.99vs Predicted
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6Colgate University-1.21-1.59vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh-3.58-0.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.64Penn State Behrend0.240.2%1st Place
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1.9Penn State University0.960.5%1st Place
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3.33Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.1%1st Place
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3.28Syracuse University-0.260.1%1st Place
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5.99University of Rochester-2.830.0%1st Place
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4.41Colgate University-1.210.0%1st Place
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6.45University of Pittsburgh-3.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Farrar | 23.7% | 26.8% | 22.9% | 16.8% | 8.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 45.8% | 30.1% | 15.2% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cole Bender | 11.9% | 16.5% | 23.8% | 27.6% | 15.3% | 4.5% | 0.4% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 13.0% | 17.2% | 23.4% | 25.5% | 17.1% | 3.6% | 0.2% |
| Carlos Lopez | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 10.8% | 48.9% | 32.3% |
| Jack Pearlson | 4.3% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 18.2% | 40.6% | 15.2% | 3.0% |
| Michael Grychowski | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 5.6% | 26.4% | 63.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.