← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Penn State University0.96+0.90vs Predicted
-
2Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30+1.28vs Predicted
-
3Syracuse University-0.26+0.27vs Predicted
-
4Penn State Behrend0.24-1.35vs Predicted
-
5Colgate University-1.21-0.54vs Predicted
-
6University of Rochester-2.83-0.01vs Predicted
-
7University of Pittsburgh-3.58-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.9Penn State University0.960.5%1st Place
-
3.28Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.1%1st Place
-
3.27Syracuse University-0.260.1%1st Place
-
2.65Penn State Behrend0.240.2%1st Place
-
4.46Colgate University-1.210.0%1st Place
-
5.99University of Rochester-2.830.0%1st Place
-
6.46University of Pittsburgh-3.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrett Lhamon | 46.8% | 28.1% | 15.4% | 7.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Cole Bender | 12.8% | 17.4% | 23.0% | 26.3% | 16.6% | 3.7% | 0.2% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 11.8% | 19.7% | 23.5% | 23.9% | 17.4% | 3.5% | 0.2% |
| Anthony Farrar | 23.2% | 25.1% | 25.3% | 17.5% | 7.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Pearlson | 4.0% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 18.9% | 39.7% | 16.2% | 3.5% |
| Carlos Lopez | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 3.6% | 11.3% | 50.0% | 31.4% |
| Michael Grychowski | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 6.0% | 24.9% | 64.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.