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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State Behrend0.24+1.53vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30+1.10vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.26+0.10vs Predicted
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4Penn State University0.96-2.14vs Predicted
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5University of Rochester-2.83+0.76vs Predicted
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6Colgate University-2.41-0.64vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh-3.58-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53Penn State Behrend0.240.2%1st Place
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3.1Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.1%1st Place
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3.1Syracuse University-0.260.1%1st Place
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1.86Penn State University0.960.5%1st Place
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5.76University of Rochester-2.830.0%1st Place
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5.36Colgate University-2.410.0%1st Place
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6.29University of Pittsburgh-3.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Farrar | 24.4% | 27.0% | 26.2% | 16.9% | 4.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Cole Bender | 13.0% | 19.8% | 25.4% | 30.1% | 9.6% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 13.7% | 18.7% | 25.9% | 29.9% | 9.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 46.2% | 30.0% | 16.1% | 7.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carlos Lopez | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 6.1% | 23.9% | 38.4% | 27.4% |
| Lewis Gibbons | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 7.5% | 38.6% | 32.4% | 14.8% |
| Michael Grychowski | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 12.7% | 24.7% | 57.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.